The Yield Curve Has Uninverted; Does It Signal Recession? | InFi #71

January 17, 2025 • Dr. Robert P. Murphy

Bob explains that the yield curve has gone back to a "normal" upward sloping configuration, with 10-year Treasuries yielding more than the 3-month T-Bill. Bob reviews the historical pattern and the theory behind it, and also provides an estimate of when the next recession will hit.

Related:

- https://mises.org/understanding-money-mechanics/inverted-yield-curve-and-recession 

- https://mises.org/podcasts/human-action-podcast/why-government-relief-spending-only-makes-recession-worse

- https://content.infineo.ai/articles/the-yield-curve-uninverts